In a little less then two months, the Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season will begin for the 2013 season. The first hurricane forecast that was issued in December had a thinking that El Nino was going to take the reins for the 2013 season. As you know, El Nino is a warming of the tropical Pacific waters and often leads to less hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin.
In the newest forecast, it looks less likely that this is going to happen. In fact, indications are that the waters in the tropical Pacific have actually cooled which would mean we would either stay in a Neutral state or possibly even go into a marginal La Nina.